Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.255106 17.260153 19.504723 22.217905 25.427650 29.127238 33.747992
2025-09-14 12.035765 14.452787 17.374980 21.214242 26.194983 32.536510 41.384191
2025-09-21 10.093793 12.586131 15.751987 20.146904 26.218441 34.510717 47.059133
2025-09-28 8.882204 11.409831 14.749608 19.598745 26.658105 36.895789 53.539425
2025-10-05 8.911564 11.833610 15.869762 22.039936 31.592512 46.485150 72.957508
2025-10-12 8.454372 11.512872 15.883719 22.840043 34.151862 52.863522 88.736343
2025-10-19 7.695108 10.672769 15.035539 22.189986 34.264102 55.170987 97.728648
2025-10-26 7.376877 10.442802 15.062483 22.900701 36.708767 61.941121 117.166942
2025-11-02 6.874751 9.885431 14.520716 22.596916 37.315323 65.404256 130.684205
2025-11-09 6.416191 9.355310 13.968454 22.201032 37.677332 68.428348 144.092954
2025-11-16 6.038284 8.921316 13.530339 21.947541 38.256558 71.981417 159.897941
2025-11-23 5.639657 8.424323 12.944904 21.362537 38.097488 73.916144 172.172320
2025-11-30 5.318793 8.045907 12.552151 21.135028 38.723061 77.948430 192.456653
2025-12-07 4.907528 7.491551 11.816377 20.190621 37.737964 78.092850 201.623280
2025-12-14 4.526665 6.963923 11.088045 19.187795 36.491479 77.372679 207.931260
2025-12-21 4.254864 6.604659 10.631582 18.672371 36.245136 79.113113 223.224012
2025-12-28 4.408113 6.984512 11.530924 20.966014 42.725469 100.075981 319.280432
2026-01-04 4.332800 6.956402 11.674605 21.716815 45.721795 112.425032 391.824651
2026-01-11 4.092216 6.617307 11.205372 21.106852 45.250380 114.365067 419.630788
2026-01-18 4.022094 6.582395 11.315785 21.773717 48.156893 127.696166 513.994032
2026-01-25 3.847848 6.345592 11.014869 21.488719 48.505110 132.797583 569.643567
2026-02-01 3.676401 6.104700 10.689811 21.117219 48.565170 136.969138 624.233659
2026-02-08 3.530607 5.904262 10.432725 20.879284 48.967620 142.530987 693.909806